The last SSWE occurred in February 2018 which led to the infamous ‘Beast from the East’. But that being said, despite have supposedly the weakest sun in 200 years, why is our planet continuing to warm. Before I take a look at 3 recent winter 2020/21 outlooks I will look at some averages and records for the month of October. The image below shows the average pattern during the last few La Nina winters. Let’s see what this winter brings as solar minimums are meant to increase -AO/NAO’s, SSWE’s and harsher winters. To try and understand the Winter season and its forecast, one must know that there is no “magic bullet” when it comes to weather. If the winters of the next 2-3 years fail to produce at least something resembling 1978-79 or indeed 2009-10, well I would throw that theory out the window. Predicting a SSWE months or even weeks in advance is very difficult. But the models are quite far away on the state of the North Atlantic high-pressure system currently, so there is room for some more colder days if the ridge will build often in the North Atlantic, as the intense pattern over North America fluctuates. Welcome to my 11th annual winter forecast for Europe. You can read more about the developing polar vortex and the stratosphere for the upcoming winter, in our specialized article: >>A stratospheric Polar Vortex has now emerged above the Arctic Circle. This has also been a good performer last winter, so we include it in our standard “suite” of model forecasts. Without further ado, here is a sneak peak at our famous long-range weather predictions from The 2021 Old Farmer’s Almanac edition—including the winter maps for all of the U.S. and Canada. We can actually see a ridge building over the western North Atlantic. AccuWeather forecasters have you covered on what to expect this winter -- including the part of Europe that "might be hurting for snow this year." This time around, we haven’t the strong positive IOD or MJO stuck in phases 6 and 7. Normal to wetter conditions are expected over the mainland. This is the situation we have mentioned before. notice the model has it hooking up with the Scandinavia block over Greenland. However, the seasonal models continue to favour a mild winter in the UK. The Old Farmer’s Almanac — not to be confused with its rival forecast predictor, Farmers’ Almanac — just released its highly anticipated predictions for winter 2020-21. It just implies that cold fronts and colder air mass intrusions will be less frequent over the continent. Hence the lack of cold winters. As a counterbalance, we decided to always use the main North American long-range model, the CFS version 2 model from the NOAA/NCEP in the United States. THE COLD AND SNOWY SIDE. Welcome to my 11th annual winter forecast for Europe. Overall, I believe winter 2020-21 will have similarity to some of the interesting, even exciting back and forth winters of the 1990s as well as 2013-14 and 2017-18. Even with the unusual warm blob in the NE Pacific, it is expected that the mid-latitude jet stream will still respond to moderate La Niña conditions in … Is the Farmers Almanac 2020-21 preparing us for a bout of global cooling? Long-range forecasts are generally not as good at forecasting stratospheric dynamics in detail. Winter 2020-21 Outlook: Cold December Could Be Followed by Mild Conditions. In this forecast, the conclusions drawn for the upcoming 90-day meteorological ... Read More, Well the first relatively low elevation snows have arrived to large parts of Scotland and Northern England thanks to biting ... Read More, Autumn 2020 has been very warm, particularly for north, central and east Europe with a back and forward in temps ... 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